October 12, 2023
For every dollar New York spends on blue-green infrastructure, it gets two back
New York’s flash flood emergency at the end of September makes the investment of billions to prepare the city for a future of weather extremes ever more urgent. A socio-economic analysis from Ramboll and Rebuild By Design finds the city can expect a two-to-one return on its investments under the right conditions.
One of New York’s big challenges is water. Not a lack of it, as we see in other parts of the world, but too much of it during extreme weather events such as cloudbursts and hurricanes which often cause flooding.
On 29 September, heavy rainfall and the resulting flooding led Eric Adams, New York City major, to declare a state of emergency for the city. The impact was immediate and far reaching, resulting in several suspended subway routes, approximately 500 cancelled flights and a further 800 delayed, and over 150 schools inundated by floodwaters. In 2021, the hurricane Ida caused historic flooding, which transformed the streets of New York into rivers and took a toll of more than 100 lives and led to billions in damages. In the future, extreme weather events, which are exacerbated by climate change, will become more common.
In recognition of this looming challenge, New York City in May 2023 announced that it would invest USD 3.5 billion in green infrastructure projects.
Launched today, a new report from Ramboll and Rebuild by Design finds the city can expect a high return on this investment – up to USD 2,09 in socio-economic benefits for every dollar spent.
Climate adaptation creates a more liveable city
“The need to adapt to climate change requires us to make some of the largest investments in infrastructure in recent history. That is also true for New York,” says Christian Nyerup Nielsen, Global Director for Climate Adaptation in Ramboll Water.
Read also: What is blue-green infrastructure?
“We are proud to partner with NYCHA in bringing blue-green solutions to the city and ensuring that all citizens garner the benefits of innovative climate adaptation strategies. At Ramboll, environmental justice is a cornerstone of our commitment to fostering sustainable societies where people and nature thrive,” says Cheryl Ginyard-Jones, Managing Director, Ramboll Americas.
Benefitting both people and nature
In the report, Ramboll analyses the risk of current and future flood risks combined with a socio-economic costs and benefits of blue-green infrastructure as a mitigation solution. Key findings include:
- For every $1 invested in a BGI Network design to the 10-year storm in 2050 New York City makes $2.09 in return.
- For a 10-year design storm the total cost of the upscaled BGI Network in present values amounts to 23,500 million USD. In the upscaled BGI Network the total avoided annual damages amounts to 15,000 million USD. The total present value of the co-benefits upscaled citywide is estimated to 19,500 million USD.
- By implementing blue-green infrastructure in NYC, DEP will save 20% on upgrading existing sewer to future service level
- 151,000 new trees could be planted in New York City with a positive Blue-Green Infrastructure business case.
- City-wide Blue-Green Infrastructure is feasible up to a future 50-year design storm in NYC.
- Blue-Green Infrastructure in NYC is most feasible when implemented in parks, plazas, and public housing.
- Co-benefits are essential to the business case of Blue-Green Infrastructure in NYC. To accommodate social vulnerability, it is essential not only to do risk analysis and following Business cases for cost loss as the consequence.
What we did
1. Conducted a city-wide flood risk screening
Based on topography and approximated capacity of the sewer system, Ramboll has estimated the flood probability for varying extreme rainfalls in todays and future climate across all 5 boroughs. Based on this city-wide model, overlayed with land-use information and damage costs, the spatial flood risk across the city and the total cost of “do-nothing” scenario are calculated and expressed as Estimated Annual Damages, EAD, in million USD.
The citywide risk assessment and community vulnerability parameters informed the selection of representative case areas.
2. Flood protection management and business cases, applying Blue Green Infrastructure (BGI) Networks
For each case area a network of connected BGI typologies is developed to mitigate flooding from the future 10-year and 50-year storm respectively.
The lifetime Business cases for establishing the BGI Networks are quantified in investment costs, operation and maintenance, reduced risk, and co-benefits collated in a Benefit Cost Analysis.
3.Upscaling to a city-wide business case
The case area business cases for both the 10- and the 50-year design storm are upscaled to a citywide BCA using linear correlations of the damages and benefits based on which a spatially distributed BCA is developed citywide along with a concluding BCA for the city.
Ramboll is a global architecture, engineering and consultancy company founded in Denmark in 1945. Our 17,500 experts create sustainable solutions across Buildings, Transport, Energy, Environment & Health, Water, Management Consulting and Architecture & Landscape.
Across the world, Ramboll combines local experience with a global knowledge base to create sustainable cities and societies. We combine insights with the power to drive positive change for our clients, in the form of ideas that can be realised and implemented.
We call it: Bright ideas. Sustainable change.
Visit us at ramboll.com
About Rebuild By Design
Rebuild convenes global expertise, with regional leadership, and community stakeholders to gain a better understanding of how overlapping environmental and human-made vulnerabilities leave communities at risk. Rebuild’s core belief is that through collaboration our communities can grow stronger and better prepared to stand up to whatever challenges tomorrow brings. www.rebuildbydesign.org
Want to know more?
Christian Nyerup Nielsen
Global Division Director
+45 51 61 62 77
Trine Stausgaard Munk
Head of Sustainability, Ramboll Water
+45 5161 2827